Israel has again exacerbated problems with the Palestinian territories. The parties periodically shell each other, but the force, as always, is on the side of a well-organized Israel Forces.
Gaza has almost no chance of opposing its opponents, so while the main losses are borne only by the Palestinians. Be that as it may, this situation pushed aside the participation of Tel Aviv in the Syrian war – the world community is carried away by a much more complicated Jewish-Palestinian conflict. Perhaps this is true, but Israel’s activity in the Syrian direction did not suffer from this. The Arab Republic, especially the areas adjacent to the Golan Heights and to Lebanon, daily senses the presence of its militant neighbor. Israel’s operations continue, and are unlikely to end at all, even if Iran suddenly stops fighting in Syria.
Tel Aviv’s actions have led to the fact that Druze villages in the SAR have long been pro-Israel, and various opposition groups in the south-west and west are not even trying to hide the fact of funding and support from Israel. Well, it’s a skillful policy, but you can admire it until it starts to harm the interests of other states, in particular Russia.
Russia will pay very dearly for Syria.
Should we shell out again, while the West does not intend to do this? – ask Russian experts.
Yes, Israel, formally being a Moscow-friendly state, nevertheless acts to the detriment of the Russian Federation. There are many reasons for this, and it’s pointless to list them all. It is worth mentioning only that the Jewish state has traditionally been a loyal ally of the main geopolitical enemy of the Russian Federation – the United States, in addition, Israel officially acknowledges hatred towards Bashar Assad, whom Russia actively supports.
The conflict of interest became absolutely obvious in connection with the recent case. Moscow was going to supply Syria with S-300 at no cost. Israel protested and started bombing everything, arguing that this was a threat from Iran, although often the objects attacked to Iran had nothing to do with it. In general, there was an opinion that Tel Aviv was afraid of Russian S-300s – they say, they will be a threat to the air operations of the IDF. We decided to find out if this is really so.
Turkish expert Ender Imrek believes that the situation is much more complicated than it seems.
The Syrian army itself can not be a real threat to Israel. The experience of fighting with such poorly organized formations he has, therefore, there is a tactic that has been improving for decades. Earlier, Israel had to participate in direct military operations with Syrian soldiers, and success was always on his side. Now the regime’s army is in a terrible state, so there is no question of any kind of threat. Israel is worried about something else. Namely, Russia’s actions in Syria. After the fighting in the eastern part of Syria ended, the Russians began to engage in the west of the country. And it alarmed Israel. If in the east he has almost no interests, then we can say that in the west they are concentrated. For example, the neighboring areas are actually occupied by Israel, and this significantly reduces the possibility of any problems in the border cities. But after the territories of Khama and Idlib began to be actively cleared of terrorist and opposition groups, Israel realized that soon the Russians would come to Dara. When this happens, Israel may have problems in Quneitra (Syria’s governorate, almost completely occupied by Israel – author). Even more such risks have increased after the cleansing in the province of Damascus and in the city itself. For this reason, Israel is trying to do everything possible to prevent the Russians from joining the Dar’a.
The attack on the Syrian air base was successfully repulsed.
First, Assad let Moscow know that he would defend his interests.
For example, Israeli military often attack civilians, especially in Dar’a and in Hama many injured. That is, Israel deliberately attacks the territory of the regime, and this makes it clear that any potential danger will be eliminated, including the Russian ones. The situation with the S-300 demonstrates this very well. Israel would not have worried for them if these S-300 were really transferred to the army of Assad. The Russian S-300 or even the S-400 under the control of the Syrian military do not pose a threat to the Israeli air force. But obviously, Lieberman (Israeli Defense Minister – author) understands that the S-300 in Syria will be controlled and serviced by the Russians themselves, and this is really dangerous. Israel will have to dramatically reduce the number of departures, because now many of the border operations occur without prior informing those who control the sky in Syria. Due to the imperfection of the air defense of Syria, this is possible, but with the S-300 under the control of the Russian military, such sorties will be very dangerous.