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Refugees in Germany and the level of crime

facts and myths

Young migrants become heroes of the German criminal chronicle more often than others “heroes”. But the overall level of youth crime in Germany is declining.

From 2014 to 2016, the number of violent crimes registered by the police increased by 10.4 percent in Lower Saxony. In the overwhelming majority of cases (92.1 percent), this increase is caused by refugees.

These data, contained in the report of the Lower Saxon criminalists, prepared by order of the Federal Ministry for Family and Youth Affairs, at first glance, seem to confirm the ideas existing in Germany that a stream of robbers and rapists flooded in the guise of refugees. Especially since Lower Saxony is an average federal land, and the crime situation in it is quite acceptable to be extrapolated to the entire country. Not everything, however, is so simple.

The criminal energy of migrants is different.

After the well-known events on New Year’s Eve in Cologne two years ago the German media stopped delicacy with the refugees committing crimes in Germany. They write about such cases in detail, with details, indicating the nationality and the country of origin. It’s silly of shy politically correctness to keep silent about the obvious: migrants in German criminal statistics are disproportionately broad.

Police squad at the hostel for refugees.

This is confirmed by the data of the Lower Saxon experts: almost every eighth violent crime in this federal land is carried out by refugees, which is much larger than their share in the population of Lower Saxony. Nevertheless, the authors of the report say that the conclusion that all refugees have a higher criminal energy than the Germans have is incorrect.

First, they point out, much depends on the situation in the country from which the migrants arrived in Germany. Secondly, it was in those two years that a rapid increase in the influx of refugees was recorded. From 2014 to 2016, it more than doubled. However, crime among migrants in the same period has increased almost three and a half times.

Such an imbalance, third, the criminologists explain by the fact that at the height of the migration crisis, disproportionately many young men, as well as young and single men, arrived in Germany. And criminals, hooligans and rapists in the age group of boys and men from 14 to 30 years – regardless of their nationality — are present more than in any other group of the population.

Refugees often are written statements to the police.

In addition, in the criminal chronicle, refugees fall more often and because the victims are more likely to write statements to the police on a representative of a different nationality than on their fellow tribesman. That is, if, for example, the Serb beat a German or an Iranian beats a Croatian.

According to the Lower Saxon researchers, one third of all the victims of the feasts of migrants are either Germans or a representative of any other nationality than the criminal. The German writes the application for the German only in 13 percent of cases, and, say, an Afghan to an Afghan or a Syrian to a Syriac and even less often – only in one of ten.

58 percent of the women raped by refugees, although are German, but, according to the authors of the study, such a high proportion is due primarily to the fact that refugees women who have been raped in hostels for migrants themselves rarely complain to the authorities.

However, just Syrians, Afghans, and also Iraqis are much less likely to become “heroes” of criminal chronicles than refugees, for example, from Morocco, Algeria or Tunisia. In 2016, the proportion of immigrants from these three North African countries was only 0.9 percent of all migrants registered as seekers of asylum in Lower Saxony and 17.1 percent of those suspected of committing crimes.

One of the explanations of the authors of the study is that the chances of North Africans to take refuge in Germany – and half of them are just men aged 14 to 30 – are practically equal to zero, that is, without prospects in Germany, they have nothing to lose.

The head of the author’s group Christian Pfeiffer (Christian Pfeiffer) in his interview to the second channel of the television of Germany (ZDF) cited such, in particular, figures. Of all the refugees suspected of robbery, 16 percent are from countries covered by civil wars, that is, from Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan. Their share in the total mass of refugees is 54 percent.

At the same time, 31 percent of the suspected of such crimes are North Africans, who among refugees are less than one percent. “From the very beginning, North Africans are being made aware that they do not have a chance to stay in Germany,” Pfeiffer explained, “Refugees are promised a refuge from wars, and therefore they are trying to behave decently.”

Pfyfer does not call for granting asylum in Germany to anyone who wishes to reduce the level of crime among migrants. His recipe is the allocation of large sums to repatriation programs, massive financial assistance to the North African countries in order to deprive their inhabitants of an incentive to seek a better share in the EU countries, as well as strengthening control at the external borders of the European Union.

Youth crime is declining.

Young male refugees, undoubtedly, cloud the German criminal statistics, which was again confirmed by experts from Lower Saxony. However, the often-sounding assertion that Germany in general is experiencing a rampant crime, that in the evenings it has become dangerous to go out into the streets, does not correspond to reality.

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