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The failure of the policy of appeasement

how will Iran respond to pressure from the US

Iranian President Hassan Ruhani threatened to “put the US on its knees.” This statement was made by the leader of the Islamic Republic against the backdrop of Washington’s attempts to impose sanctions against the UN Security Council and calls on other countries to refuse to purchase Iranian oil. According to Ruhani, the States are unleashing an economic war against Iran. Simultaneously, the country thawed out the production of uranium concentrate. Experts believe that in the Iranian society, an attempt to rapprochement with the West is considered unsuccessful. How can the IRI respond to increased US pressure?

Iranian President Hasan Ruhani stressed that Iran does not intend to capitulate under US pressure. Such a statement he made, commenting on national television, the difficult economic situation in the country. The Iranian leader linked it with Washington’s policy.

“In no way will we capitulate to the US and preserve the historical national greatness, while we ourselves will put the US on its knees in this strong-willed fight,” RIA Novosti quotes Rukhani as saying.

Ruhani has quite an explosive temper.

“We are fighting the United States, they want to unleash an economic war,” Ruhani said.

As reported by the world media, since April 2018, the real rate of the Iranian Rial has fallen almost twofold, reaching about 90 thousand riyals for the dollar. Exchange of currency points was closed in April to stabilize the national currency, but this did not help. Western media argue that the devaluation led to mass protests. Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on Wednesday, meeting with representatives of the judiciary, called for fighting “undermining the economic security” of the country.

“The majority of Iranians associate problems with the wrong monetary policy of the government,” Orientalist Sayid Gafurov said in an interview with RT. “But the fact that there are demonstrations shows only that Iran is a democratic country where people can openly express their discontent.”

At the same time, the expert recognizes that “external and internal players” are trying to destabilize the situation in the country.

“Western media, as always, all exaggerate, often focusing on rumors – said RT expert from the Center for Geopolitical Expertise Leonid Savin. – In Iran, protests on the hot social aspects – a common thing. The specifics of the Iranian people are an explosive temperament. ”

At the same time, as the expert emphasizes, the US does not hide that they intend to use dissatisfaction with the internal Iranian problems for the regime change in the Islamic republic.

“Washington puts on destabilization, tries to manipulate protests through social networks,” the political scientist says.

The domestic political aspect is important as well.

The rate of the Iranian currency began to fall sharply in April 2018 against the backdrop of information about a possible US withdrawal from the nuclear deal with Tehran, signed in 2015. Then Bloomberg called political pressure from the Americans one of the factors of the devaluation of the rial. On May 8, the United States President, Donald Trump, announced the withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPA). Immediately afterwards, the US Treasury introduced restrictive measures against the head of the Iranian Central Bank and a number of companies allegedly linked to the elite forces of Al-Quds of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps. As noted by The Wall Street Journal, after threats from Trump, foreign banks refuse to conduct business with an Islamic republic, fearing problems in relations with the US.

“I would interpret Ruhani’s statement not as a threat or even as something connected with foreign policy, but as an internal political message,” Gafurov said.

According to him, because of the difficult economic situation, criticism of the current government is growing.

The political scientist especially notes disappointment in the policy of rapprochement with the West, part of which was the signing in 2015 of the Joint Comprehensive Action Plan between Iran, Russia, China, USA, Germany, France and Great Britain. The Iranians expected that after the removal of restrictive measures there will be an increase in economic welfare, but the return of the US to the policy of sanctions has put a cross on these plans.

“Ruhani is now forced to demonstrate resolute will and inflexibility, recognizing the failure of his policy of pacifying the West,” Gafurov said.

Savin believes that the president, most likely, is trying to intercept the rhetoric of Ayatollah Khamenei, who from the very beginning was skeptical about the deal with the US.

Meanwhile, the US continues to try to introduce new restrictive measures against the Islamic Republic at the international level.

So, on June 27, US Deputy Assistant Ambassador to the United Nations Jonathan Cohen called on the Security Council to impose sanctions against Tehran. On the same day, the United States began to gradually return unilateral sanctions, previously canceled due to the signing of a nuclear deal, forbidding American firms to export to Iran components for airplanes and trade Iranian carpets, pistachios and black caviar.

The State Department informed the journalist the day before Washington is putting pressure on its allies and countries such as China and India, demanding that they refuse to import the main Iranian commodity, oil, until November 4, 2018. “India does not recognize unilateral sanctions, only sanctions imposed by the UN” , – the Secretary General for International Cooperation in the Ministry of Oil of India Sanjay Sadkhir commented on this news to CNN. They are worried about future sanctions of the USA in both Tokyo and Seoul. According to Reuters, citing an anonymous representative of the South Korean government, the country is currently negotiating with the United States to get Korean buyers of Iranian oil out of the impact of anti-Iran sanctions. The fact that such talks are being held by the Japanese side, Yoshihide Suga, secretary general of the Japanese government, admitted to journalists on June 26.

“I doubt that the Chinese will agree to refuse to buy Iranian oil. South Koreans will not exactly agree. In India, too much is involved in oil projects with Iran, “Gafurov said.” According to the expert, Tehran can also agree with Russia about the resale of black gold produced in Iran. “US sanctions will not exert influence on Iran’s policy,” Gafurov sums up. “Even in the worst of times the Iranians bypassed American sanctions.” According to Savin, Tehran will use lobbying tools in various countries, primarily in the EU.

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