On Saturday, during a military parade on the successful, from the Tehran’s point of view, the end of the Iran-Iraq war of 1980-1988, an act of terror was committed in the Iranian city of Ahvaz. Fire on people was opened by unknown armed persons who were behind the podium. At least 29 people were killed, at least 12 of them are members of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps – the elite formation of the Iranian army. Another 57 citizens were injured.
As usual, the perpetrators of this atrocity are still unknown. But where do the tracks trace Tehran’s opinion? Certain facts are prompted by the fact that on Sunday the Iranian Foreign Ministry was called by the ambassadors of the Netherlands, Denmark and Britain. They were accused of supporting the Iranian opposition. Namely – in sheltering groups opposing the Iranian regime. “It is unacceptable that these groups are not ranked among terrorist organizations in the European Union only because they did not commit terrorist acts in Europe,” Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Bahram Kasemi said.
Meanwhile, Iran is one of the most stable countries in the region. Terror acts here in the last decade are rare. Special services and other state structures worked hard, so that it was safe in their country. However, it was not possible to fully protect the population from terrorist acts, as it follows from the Saturday tragedy.
The Iranian authorities in recent years began to increase security measures in the west of the country during the heyday of the so-called “Islamic state”. The militants of the pseudo-Caliphate repeatedly threatened the Persians and threatened to punish them for “heresy” and “apostasy” (almost all the citizens of Iran are Shiite Muslims, which in the eyes of radical Sunni Muslims makes them potential enemies).
But since the formation of ISIS until recently, this group did not show any activity in Iran. This was even somewhat strange, considering that the followers of Baghdadi (the leader of the ISIS) over the years managed to make attacks even in a number of European and Asian capitals very far from these edges. Berlin, Stockholm, Paris, London, Istanbul, Jakarta – this is not the whole list.
But in Iran, nothing like this, I repeat, did not happen. Apparently, foreseeing the final disappearance of ISIS from the political scene, in Tehran a year ago they allowed themselves to relax a little. Otherwise, it is difficult to explain the double terrorist attack that occurred in the country on June 7, 2017. Then the terrorists attacked the parliament building and the museum-tomb of the first ayatollah. The result is two dozen dead and fifty wounded. As it was established, the blood of these people is in the hands of the guerrillas ISIS, which by that time, as everyone thought, had already been significantly crushed in Syria and Iraq.
And now – Ahvaz. In any case, information sources related to ISIS report that the terrorist act in this city was committed by their “warriors of Islam”. In the first hours after the tragedy, the Iranian military picked up this news and began to replicate it too. Then, in the environment of local officials, inconsistency began to be traced. Some continued to blame Igil. Others switched to local terrorist groups, consisting mainly of Arabs. For example, the “National resistance of Ahvaz” was mentioned. By the way, its representatives, like their “colleagues” from ISIS, also took responsibility for the crime.
Further Iranian versions became even more. So, one of the culprits of the incident, according to new statements in Tehran, called Saudi Arabia. Then Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif changed the main version: “Iran considers responsible for this attack those who sponsor terrorism in the region and their American masters.” But the representative of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Iran, General Avolfazl Shekarchi before this commentary: “These terrorists are not from the Islamic state and not from other groups fighting with our Islamic system. They are connected with the United States and the Mossad. ”
Russian orientalist and political scientist Karine Gevorgyan earlier assumed that in September the US and its allies can actually intensify their activities in Iran, Russia and the regions connected with them. The goal is to divert attention of these states from the Syrian problem. In her opinion, what happened in Ahvaz is somehow connected with this process.
– This attack is needed for those who benefit from the weakening of Iran. First of all – Israel and Saudi Arabia. The United States are also in profit, but now I would not dare to blame Washington.
It is possible, probably, to speak in this case and about some American special services, but then they did not necessarily coordinate their actions with the top leadership of the state. As a rule, according to terrorists, and they are trained by special services through private military companies. Or somehow. But the United States now has such a situation that the interests of the special services and the Pentagon, for example, do not always coincide. And if you talk about Trump, then his involvement in this attack is almost impossible. Those who are considered opponents of Trump within the United States. Nevertheless, Saturday’s terrorist attack is closely connected with the global plan for diverting Russia and Iran from the Syrian problem. Before Russia, now there are exactly the same challenges as before Iran. For example, on the border with Russia, in Georgia, the number of Uyghur Turks has accumulated. Among them there are many potentially dangerous people for our country. This is done under the auspices of Turkey. And Tbilisi does not hinder this activity in any way. If she does not even indulge her. The interest of Ankara is obvious here. It seeks to expand its political influence in the territories of the disintegrated Ottoman Empire. Moved to Georgia, the Uyghur factions in case of anything can help create tension in our North Caucasus. Or – in the South Caucasus. Under certain conditions, Turkey can easily take advantage of this. Some regions of Georgia, by the way, are actively turkanised with the help of Ankara. In Ajaria, all the signs on the streets have long been dubbed in Turkish. And others are written only in Turkish. All this may one day break out and create new problems for Moscow in the Caucasus direction. Similar scenarios are being worked out for Iran. Of course, this or that role the States play in this. But for now it is necessary to wait for the results of the investigation of Iranian specialists. I think they will be widely voiced in Tehran.